Metalac Gornji vs Smederevo
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Smederevo. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: SmederevoGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.015 | A: 0.026Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.35. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.36% based on n=530 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Serbia Prva Liga (rs). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The HIGH confidence band reinforces the selection, with comparable historical cases showing a stronger expected profile. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Smederevo's attacking profile.
Metalac Gornji – Smederevo Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Nosaby - IFK Trelleborg | 2.25 | 7.37% |
| LOSS | Wexford FC (W) - FC Treaty United (W) | 2.38 | 6.36% |
| WIN | CSM Ramnicu Valcea - CSM Slatina | 2.50 | 6.36% |
| LOSS | SK Rapid Psary - Meteor Prague VIII | 2.50 | 6.36% |
| WIN | Ferroviario de Nampula - Black Bulls | 2.35 | 6.36% |
| LOSS | Havant and W - Frome Town | 2.38 | 6.36% |
| LOSS | Kremser SC - Parndorf | 2.55 | 6.36% |
| LOSS | Alfreton Town - Avro FC | 2.50 | 6.36% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Macva Sabac - Radnicki Nis | 2 | 2.45 | 7.37% | 22 Aug 18:30 |