KKS 1925 Kalisz – Notec Czarnkow

Model: TipA1

KKS 1925 Kalisz vs Notec Czarnkow

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.90
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 19, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultWIN0 - 1
StartStarted 16h 26m ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.73% · n=17
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.73% · n=17
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 9h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Notec Czarnkow. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Notec CzarnkowGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.097 | A: 0.062

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

58/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.90First seen
Current4.12Now
Max odds4.37Highest point
Min odds3.90Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

KKS 1925 KaliszHOME
VS
Notec CzarnkowAWAY
LDWLW
Recent form
WWLLW
Avg goals scored
0.80
2.00
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.60
Shots on target for
3.20
8.20
SoT conceded pressure
5.00
5.80
Home splitL-W-W-L-W1.20 scored / 0.80 conceded
Away splitW-W-L-W-W2.60 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.90. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.73% based on n=17 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Poland III Liga (pl). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.90
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.73% · n=17
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.73% · n=17
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Notec Czarnkow is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: 35.5% 7D: -8.1% 15D: -1.6% 30D: 3.6%
Model insight

KKS 1925 Kalisz – Notec Czarnkow Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.90. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.73% and 4.73%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample58
Win Rate25.9%
Profit+0.10u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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LOSSCanvey Island - Brightlingsea Regent3.754.37%
LOSSVäxjö Norra - Staffanstorp United3.902.27%
LOSSADO '20 - USV Hercules3.754.37%
LOSSZaglebie Lubin II - Rakow Czestochowa II3.904.37%
LOSSSC Kalsdorf - SV Allerheiligen4.004.37%
LOSSFC United of Manchester - Leek Town3.902.27%
Pick
2 @ 3.90
Kickoff
Ago 19, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.73% • n=17
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.73% • n=17
Start
Started 16h 26m ago
Updated
Updated 1d 9h ago
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