FK Graficar Beograd – Loznica

Model: TIPPSA

FK Graficar Beograd vs Loznica

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.85
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 19, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 2
StartStarted 7h 12m ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.78% · n=52
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 9h 16m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Loznica. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: LoznicaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.023 | A: 0.016

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

51/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.75First seen
Current3.85Now
Max odds4.09Highest point
Min odds3.00Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FK Graficar BeogradHOME
VS
LoznicaAWAY
DWLLL
Recent form
DLDDW
Avg goals scored
0.80
1.40
Defensive weakness
1.60
1.20
Shots on target for
3.80
3.80
SoT conceded pressure
5.20
3.80
Home splitD-L-L-W-W1.80 scored / 1.40 conceded
Away splitD-D-W-W-D1.40 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.85. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.78% based on n=52 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Serbia Prva Liga (rs). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.85
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.78% · n=52
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: 32.3% 7D: -10.0% 15D: -1.1% 30D: 3.4%
Model insight

FK Graficar Beograd – Loznica Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.85. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.78% across 52 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample36
Win Rate8.3%
Profit-24.10u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSFalkenbergs FF - Norrby IF3.853.92%
LOSSRKC - FC Dordrecht3.773.99%
WINOsasuna - Al Ain SCC4.102.78%
LOSSFC Viktoriya Sumy - Kolos Kovalivka II3.684.77%
LOSSCSD Municipal - Cartagines3.852.78%
LOSSRosario Central - Racing Club3.803.92%
LOSSClub Atletico Libertad - Delfin SC3.694.77%
LOSSCD Los Chankas - Sport Boys4.073.92%
Pick
2 @ 3.85
Kickoff
Ago 19, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.78% • n=52
Start
Started 7h 12m ago
Updated
Updated 9h 16m ago
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