Nestos Chrisoupolis – Apollon Kalamarias

Model: TipA1

Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Apollon Kalamarias

PREDICTION
2
@ 4.33
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 19, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 0
StartStarted 17h 26m ago
V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 9.38% · n=45
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 5h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Apollon Kalamarias. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Apollon KalamariasGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.250 | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

77/100
Excellent value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.10First seen
Current4.33Now
Max odds4.33Highest point
Min odds4.10Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Nestos ChrisoupolisHOME
VS
Apollon KalamariasAWAY
WDDWD
Recent form
LWDWL
Avg goals scored
1.20
1.00
Defensive weakness
0.80
1.00
Shots on target for
2.67
6.00
SoT conceded pressure
1.00
3.50
Home splitW-D-W-W1.50 scored / 0.25 conceded
Away splitL-D-L-W-L0.60 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 4.33. The V2 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 9.38% based on n=45 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Greece Cup (gr). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick2
Odd4.33
V2 BandELITEROI 9.38% · n=45
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. Historical model performance remains supportive, with similar ELITE underdog setups showing encouraging long-term results. Apollon Kalamarias has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: 39.0% 7D: -7.4% 15D: -1.2% 30D: 3.8%
Model insight

Nestos Chrisoupolis – Apollon Kalamarias Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 4.33. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is ELITE, with a historical expected ROI of 9.38% across 45 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample17
Win Rate41.2%
Profit+13.46u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINWerder Bremen - Auxerre4.339.38%
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WINRamsgate - Leatherhead4.509.38%
WINWarta Sieradz - Mlawianka Mlawa4.209.91%
WINYongin FC - Dangjin Citizen FC4.339.38%
LOSSRoPS - PK Keski-Uusimaa4.339.38%
LOSSWest Chester United - Delaware FC4.209.91%
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Pick
2 @ 4.33
Kickoff
Ago 19, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: ELITE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 9.38% • n=45
Start
Started 17h 26m ago
Updated
Updated 1d 5h ago
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