Model: TIPPSH

IA Akranes vs FH Hafnarfjordur

PREDICTION

@ 2.04

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 23, 2026 9:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 2d 11h

V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 8.87% · n=104

V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 8.87% · n=104

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 11h 21m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is IA Akranes. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: IA AkranesGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.113 | A: 0.052

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

56/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.02First seen

Current2.04Now

Max odds2.04Highest point

Min odds2.02Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

IA AkranesHOME

FH HafnarfjordurAWAY

WWDWL

Recent form

LWDDD

Avg goals scored

2.80

0.80

Defensive weakness

1.80

1.00

Shots on target for

6.00

2.60

SoT conceded pressure

5.20

6.40

Home splitW-D-W-L-L2.00 scored / 1.40 conceded

Away splitW-D-W-L-L0.60 scored / 2.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.04. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 8.87% based on n=104 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Iceland Premier League (is). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.04

V2 BandELITEROI 8.87% · n=104

V4 BandELITEROI 8.87% · n=104

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The model places this selection in a historically favorable confidence range. IA Akranes is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: 39.0% 7D: -6.7% 15D: -0.7% 30D: 2.8%

Model insight

IA Akranes – FH Hafnarfjordur Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.04. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 8.87% and 8.87%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample13

Win Rate61.5%

Profit+3.97u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Sevilla (W) - Granada (W)	2.20	9.18%
LOSS	AZ Reserves - FC Eindhoven	2.07	8.87%
WIN	FC Emmen - Roda JC	2.28	8.94%
WIN	Versailles 78 - FC Fleury 91	2.15	8.87%
LOSS	Slavia Prague B - FK Pribram	2.01	8.87%
WIN	Spokane Velocity FC - Charlotte Independence	2.27	8.94%
LOSS	Vaengir Jupiters - Ellidi	1.96	8.87%
WIN	Dalian Young Boy - Shandong Taishan	2.28	8.94%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Al Qadisiya Al Khubar - Al Ittihad Jeddah	1	2.05	8.87%	21 Aug 20:00

Pick

1 @ 2.04

Kickoff

Ago 23, 2026 9:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: ELITE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 8.87% • n=104

Confidence V4

CONF V4: ELITE

Exp. ROI V4

8.87% • n=104

Start

Starts in 2d 11h

Updated

Updated 11h 21m ago