Denbigh Town vs Porthmadog
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Porthmadog. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: PorthmadogGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.014 | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.63. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.79% based on n=75 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Wales Championship North (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Porthmadog. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.
Denbigh Town – Porthmadog Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Paksi - Kispest Honved | 3.51 | -1.31% |
| LOSS | Huehuetecos FC - Deportivo Gomerano | 3.39 | -0.79% |
| LOSS | Independiente Santa Fe - Once Caldas | 3.61 | -0.79% |
| WIN | Delfin SC - Leones FC | 3.71 | -0.79% |
| LOSS | Real Sociedad - Racing Santander | 3.50 | -1.31% |
| LOSS | Sacramento Republic - Rhode Island FC | 3.50 | -1.31% |
| LOSS | Tianjin Shengde (W) - Chongqing Olympic (W) | 3.43 | -0.79% |
| LOSS | Armenia - Kazakhstan | 3.70 | -1.31% |