KF Shkendija Haracine vs KF Arsimi
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is KF Arsimi. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: KF ArsimiGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.107 | A: -0.278Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.75. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.27% based on n=211 historical similar picks. The match belongs to North Macedonia First League (mk). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to KF Arsimi's attacking profile.
KF Shkendija Haracine – KF Arsimi Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Doncaster - Barnsley | 3.50 | 2.63% |
| WIN | Dingnan Ganlian FC - Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | 3.50 | 2.63% |
| WIN | Comercial U20 - Rio Branco SP U20 | 4.00 | 2.27% |
| WIN | KKS 1925 Kalisz - Notec Czarnkow | 3.90 | 4.73% |
| LOSS | FK Graficar Beograd - Loznica | 3.75 | 4.37% |
| LOSS | Orlando City SC - Real Salt Lake | 3.60 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | Canvey Island - Brightlingsea Regent | 3.75 | 4.37% |
| LOSS | Växjö Norra - Staffanstorp United | 3.90 | 2.27% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Maipu - Quilmes | 2 | 3.75 | 4.37% | 22 Aug 22:00 |