Model: TipTromba12H

Frigg vs Kjelsås

PREDICTION

@ 9.50

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 22, 2026 8:00 PM

ResultLOSS0 - 4

StartStarted 13h 42m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.41% · n=38

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 9h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Frigg. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FriggGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.240 | A: 0.073

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

52/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds10.30First seen

Current10.30Now

Max odds10.30Highest point

Min odds10.30Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FriggHOME

KjelsåsAWAY

LDWDD

Recent form

WWLWW

Avg goals scored

2.00

2.60

Defensive weakness

2.60

0.80

Shots on target for

5.00

7.00

SoT conceded pressure

3.20

2.40

Home splitL-D-D-D-W1.80 scored / 2.00 conceded

Away splitW-L-W-W-D2.40 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 9.50. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.41% based on n=38 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Norway Cup (no). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd9.50

V2 BandLOWROI 1.41% · n=38

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 22.1% 7D: 16.0% 15D: 2.0% 30D: 3.7%

Model insight

Frigg – Kjelsås Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 9.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba12H model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.41% across 38 similar predictions. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample17

Win Rate11.8%

Profit+2.00u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Verdes FC - CSD Municipal	9.50	1.41%
LOSS	Craigavon City (W) - Bangor FC (W)	9.50	1.41%
LOSS	VfB Homberg - Fortuna Dusseldorf II	9.50	1.41%
LOSS	Cleveland Force - Steel City	9.50	1.41%
LOSS	FC Rapperswil-Jona - Basel	9.50	1.41%
WIN	AIK (W) - BK Hacken (W)	9.50	1.41%
WIN	Flamengo de Sucre - Nacional Sucre	9.50	1.41%
LOSS	BK Hacken (W) II - Elfsborg (W)	9.50	1.41%

Pick

1 @ 9.50

Kickoff

Ago 22, 2026 8:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.41% • n=38

Start

Started 13h 42m ago

Updated

Updated 1d 9h ago