Model: TIPPSH

Sparta Rotterdam vs FC Utrecht

PREDICTION

@ 2.65

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 22, 2026 8:45 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 12h 38m

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 8h 8m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Sparta Rotterdam. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Sparta RotterdamGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.012 | A: -0.091

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

37/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.67First seen

Current2.65Now

Max odds2.67Highest point

Min odds2.63Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Sparta RotterdamHOME

FC UtrechtAWAY

WLDDL

Recent form

LLLLL

Avg goals scored

1.20

0.60

Defensive weakness

1.20

2.00

Shots on target for

5.40

5.00

SoT conceded pressure

4.00

5.00

Home splitL-D-D-L-W0.80 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitL-L-D-W-L0.80 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.65. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Netherlands Eredivisie (nl). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.65

V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Sparta Rotterdam. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 32.6% 7D: 20.8% 15D: 1.8% 30D: 3.7%

Model insight

Sparta Rotterdam – FC Utrecht Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.65. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample135

Win Rate35.6%

Profit-13.53u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	SK Hranice - MFK Havirov	2.50	1.59%
LOSS	RSD Alcala - Gimnastica Segoviana	2.55	1.59%
LOSS	SK Pama - SV Leithaprodersdorf	2.45	1.59%
LOSS	Vitesse - Almere City FC	2.55	1.59%
LOSS	FC Dordrecht - Roda JC	2.68	1.59%
LOSS	Marine - Chorley	2.50	1.59%
LOSS	Athens Kallithea - Larissa	2.72	1.59%
WIN	Guangdong Mingtu - Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	2.53	1.59%

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Pick

1 @ 2.65

Kickoff

Ago 22, 2026 8:45 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341

Start

Starts in 12h 38m

Updated

Updated 8h 8m ago