ASA Targu Mures – Gloria Bistrita

Model: TIPPSA

ASA Targu Mures vs Gloria Bistrita

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.18
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 22, 2026 12:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 0
StartStarted 1d 21h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.07% · n=461
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -4.49% · n=175
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 23h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Gloria Bistrita. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Gloria BistritaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.010 | A: 0.050

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

21/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.80First seen
Current3.19Now
Max odds3.19Highest point
Min odds2.72Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

ASA Targu MuresHOME
VS
Gloria BistritaAWAY
WLDWL
Recent form
LDLWW
Avg goals scored
1.00
1.00
Defensive weakness
1.00
0.60
Shots on target for
3.00
6.00
SoT conceded pressure
5.20
3.00
Home splitW-L-W-D-L1.40 scored / 1.40 conceded
Away splitL-W-W-D-D1.40 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.18. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -4.49% based on n=175 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Romania Liga 2 (ro). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.18
V2 BandNONEROI -1.07% · n=461
V4 BandNONEROI -4.49% · n=175
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market prices Gloria Bistrita as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Gloria Bistrita's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 22.0% 7D: 12.5% 15D: 1.8% 30D: 3.6%
Model insight

ASA Targu Mures – Gloria Bistrita Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.18. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.07% and -4.49%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample59
Win Rate35.6%
Profit+6.02u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINCarrarese - Mantova3.16-1.07%
WINPau - Nancy3.10-1.07%
WINSolihull Moors - Middlesbrough U213.30-1.31%
LOSSFulham - VfB Stuttgart2.94-1.07%
LOSSMold Alexandra - Holyhead Hotspur2.98-1.07%
LOSSMineros de Zacatecas - Venados FC3.01-1.07%
LOSSCD Derio - San Ignacio3.10-1.07%
LOSSHuehuetecos FC - Deportivo Gomerano3.39-0.79%
Pick
2 @ 3.18
Kickoff
Ago 22, 2026 12:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.07% • n=461
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-4.49% • n=175
Start
Started 1d 21h ago
Updated
Updated 1d 23h ago
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