Model: TIPPSA

Mold Alexandra vs Holyhead Hotspur

PREDICTION

@ 3.02

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 15, 2026 5:30 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 0

StartStarted 1d 7h ago

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.07% · n=461

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 9h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Holyhead Hotspur. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Holyhead HotspurGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.005 | A: 0.032

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

31/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.20First seen

Current3.19Now

Max odds3.22Highest point

Min odds3.19Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Mold AlexandraHOME

Holyhead HotspurAWAY

WLDDL

Recent form

LLWWW

Avg goals scored

1.80

2.00

Defensive weakness

2.00

1.20

Shots on target for

4.80

8.00

SoT conceded pressure

6.60

4.60

Home splitW-D-L-W-W2.20 scored / 1.60 conceded

Away splitL-W-W1.33 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.02. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.07% based on n=461 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Wales Championship North (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd3.02

V2 BandNONEROI -1.07% · n=461

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Holyhead Hotspur. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Holyhead Hotspur's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -21.3% 7D: -14.1% 15D: 4.8% 30D: 4.8%

Model insight

Mold Alexandra – Holyhead Hotspur Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.02. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -1.07% across 461 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample81

Win Rate37.0%

Profit+8.39u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Fulham - VfB Stuttgart	2.94	-1.07%
LOSS	Kubikenborgs IF - Täfteå IK	2.92	-1.07%
LOSS	Mineros de Zacatecas - Venados FC	3.01	-1.07%
LOSS	CD Derio - San Ignacio	3.10	-1.07%
LOSS	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng - Chongqing Tonglianglong	3.14	-1.07%
WIN	Manta FC - Mushuc Runa	2.82	-1.07%
LOSS	Orange County SC - El Paso Locomotive FC	3.00	-1.07%
WIN	HNK Gorica - NK Osijek	3.11	-1.07%

Pick

2 @ 3.02

Kickoff

Ago 15, 2026 5:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -1.07% • n=461

Start

Started 1d 7h ago

Updated

Updated 1d 9h ago