NJS – MuSa

Model: TIPPSA

NJS vs MuSa

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.38
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 22, 2026 4:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 2
StartStarted 1d 16h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.13% · n=261
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.13% · n=261
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 18h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is MuSa. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: MuSaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.088 | A: -0.108

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

43/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.08First seen
Current2.38Now
Max odds2.38Highest point
Min odds2.05Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

NJSHOME
VS
MuSaAWAY
LLLLL
Recent form
WLLLL
Avg goals scored
0.40
0.60
Defensive weakness
3.20
3.20
Shots on target for
3.00
2.20
SoT conceded pressure
10.40
5.40
Home splitL-L-L-L-L0.80 scored / 3.00 conceded
Away splitW-L-L-L-W1.20 scored / 3.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.38. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.13% based on n=261 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Finland Kakkonen Group B (fi). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.38
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.13% · n=261
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.13% · n=261
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 38.3% 7D: 20.0% 15D: 2.3% 30D: 3.8%
Model insight

NJS – MuSa Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.38. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.13% and 4.13%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample192
Win Rate40.6%
Profit-5.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSViborg - FC Copenhagen2.364.13%
WINB68 Toftir - Skala IF2.374.13%
WINEyupspor - Gazisehir Gaziantep FK2.573.59%
LOSSSC Kfar Qasim - Hapoel Akko2.354.13%
LOSSFK Poprad - FC Lokomotiva Kosice2.434.13%
LOSSSligo Rovers - Waterford FC2.303.59%
WINPointe Michel FC - We United FC2.384.13%
WINDeportes Tolima - Independiente del Valle2.504.13%
Pick
2 @ 2.38
Kickoff
Ago 22, 2026 4:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.13% • n=261
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.13% • n=261
Start
Started 1d 16h ago
Updated
Updated 1d 18h ago
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