Model: TIPPSA

Sligo Rovers vs Waterford FC

PREDICTION

@ 2.23

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 21, 2026 11:00 PM

ResultLOSS0 - 0

StartStarted 3h 38m ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.63% · n=132

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 5h 40m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Waterford FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Waterford FCGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.154 | A: 0.095

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

37/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.33First seen

Current2.33Now

Max odds2.45Highest point

Min odds2.30Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Sligo RoversHOME

Waterford FCAWAY

DWLDD

Recent form

DWWWD

Avg goals scored

1.40

1.20

Defensive weakness

1.00

0.40

Shots on target for

3.00

4.40

SoT conceded pressure

4.80

3.00

Home splitD-W-D-L-L1.60 scored / 1.20 conceded

Away splitD-D-W-W-D2.00 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.23. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.63% based on n=132 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Republic of Ireland Premier Division (ie). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Medium volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.23

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.63% · n=132

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Waterford FC a useful statistical edge. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Waterford FC's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 48.2% 7D: 15.9% 15D: 5.3% 30D: 4.3%

Model insight

Sligo Rovers – Waterford FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.23. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.63% across 132 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample169

Win Rate44.4%

Profit-0.96u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Pointe Michel FC - We United FC	2.38	4.13%
WIN	HB Køge - Hvidovre IF	2.08	2.63%
WIN	FC Utrecht - AZ	2.47	3.59%
WIN	Wuxi Wugo - Guangdong GZ-Power	2.07	2.63%
LOSS	Arkonia Szczecin U19 - Gornik Zabrze U19	2.39	4.13%
WIN	SV Ried - Rapid Vienna	2.40	4.13%
WIN	Huachipato - Everton de Vina	2.29	4.13%
LOSS	PSG - Man Utd	2.08	2.63%

Pick

2 @ 2.23

Kickoff

Ago 21, 2026 11:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 2.63% • n=132

Start

Started 3h 38m ago

Updated

Updated 5h 40m ago