Model: TIPPSA

SC Kfar Qasim vs Hapoel Akko

PREDICTION

@ 2.66

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 23, 2026 8:00 PM

ResultLOSS4 - 0

StartStarted 12h 42m ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.13% · n=261

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.13% · n=261

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 14h 56m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Hapoel Akko. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Hapoel AkkoGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.017 | A: 0.029

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

46/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.35First seen

Current2.66Now

Max odds2.66Highest point

Min odds2.35Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

SC Kfar QasimHOME

Hapoel AkkoAWAY

WLLLL

Recent form

LLWWD

Avg goals scored

1.40

0.80

Defensive weakness

1.60

1.40

Shots on target for

4.60

3.60

SoT conceded pressure

8.00

5.60

Home splitW-L-L-W-D2.00 scored / 1.40 conceded

Away splitL-W-D-D-D1.00 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.66. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.13% based on n=261 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Israel Leumit Liga (il). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.66

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.13% · n=261

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.13% · n=261

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 38.6% 7D: 30.4% 15D: 5.4% 30D: 6.6%

Model insight

SC Kfar Qasim – Hapoel Akko Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.66. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.13% and 4.13%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample135

Win Rate42.2%

Profit+13.13u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Eyupspor - Gazisehir Gaziantep FK	2.57	3.59%
LOSS	FK Poprad - FC Lokomotiva Kosice	2.43	4.13%
WIN	Honiara City FC - Green Shield FC	2.71	3.59%
WIN	Deportes Tolima - Independiente del Valle	2.50	4.13%
WIN	SD Aucas - LDU Quito	2.65	3.59%
WIN	JK Viljandi Tulevik - FC Levadia Tallinn U19	2.80	4.96%
WIN	Sportivo Trinidense (W) - Sportivo San Lorenzo (W)	2.54	4.13%
LOSS	Orlando City SC - FC Cincinnati	2.72	3.59%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Retro FC Brasil - America RN	2	2.70	3.31%	30 Apr 02:30

Pick

2 @ 2.66

Kickoff

Ago 23, 2026 8:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.13% • n=261

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

4.13% • n=261

Start

Started 12h 42m ago

Updated

Updated 14h 56m ago