Lyon II – Bourgoin Jallieu

Model: TipTromba35H

Lyon II vs Bourgoin Jallieu

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 29, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 17h 5m ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.85% · n=519
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 23h 45m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Lyon II. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Lyon IIGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

48/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.00First seen
Current3.00Now
Max odds3.15Highest point
Min odds3.00Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Lyon IIHOME
VS
Bourgoin JallieuAWAY
DWL
Recent form
DDW
Avg goals scored
1.67
1.33
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.00
Shots on target for
6.67
5.33
SoT conceded pressure
3.67
3.00
Home splitD-W2.00 scored / 0.50 conceded
Away splitD-D0.50 scored / 0.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.00. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.85% based on n=519 historical similar picks. The match belongs to France National 2 (fr). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.00
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.85% · n=519
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The market prices Lyon II as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Lyon II's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: -1.9% 7D: 21.2% 15D: 13.0% 30D: 10.5%
Model insight

Lyon II – Bourgoin Jallieu Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.85% across 519 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample183
Win Rate30.1%
Profit-12.30u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSHertha Berlin II - Hallescher FC3.203.85%
LOSSFC Arbaer - KA Asvellir3.003.85%
LOSSSan Marino Academy U22 - FC Fiorentino3.253.56%
WINBarletta - Bari3.202.17%
LOSSNorth District - Kitchee3.253.56%
LOSSSija FC - Deportivo Tacana3.003.85%
LOSSAtletico Barinas - Urena SC3.003.85%
LOSSLyon U19 - Clermont Foot U193.103.85%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
NK Brezice U19 - NK Rudar Velenje U1913.103.85%30 Aug 18:00
Zira IK - Neftchi Baku13.103.85%30 Aug 18:15
Pick
1 @ 3.00
Kickoff
Ago 29, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.85% • n=519
Start
Started 17h 5m ago
Updated
Updated 23h 45m ago
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