Guiseley – Lancaster City

Model: TIPPSH

Guiseley vs Lancaster City

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.90
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 28, 2026 10:45 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 2
StartStarted 1d 11h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 13h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Guiseley. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: GuiseleyGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.100 | A: -0.035

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

27/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.95First seen
Current1.90Now
Max odds2.01Highest point
Min odds1.90Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

GuiseleyHOME
VS
Lancaster CityAWAY
LWWWD
Recent form
WWDLL
Avg goals scored
2.20
1.40
Defensive weakness
1.40
1.60
Shots on target for
3.60
2.80
SoT conceded pressure
2.80
4.00
Home splitL-W-W-L-W2.20 scored / 1.60 conceded
Away splitW-W-L-L-W2.40 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.90. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England Northern Premier League (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.90
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Guiseley a useful statistical edge. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: -2.2% 7D: 23.6% 15D: 13.0% 30D: 10.6%
Model insight

Guiseley – Lancaster City Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.90. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample796
Win Rate50.1%
Profit-23.62u
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WINGrange Thistle - Moreton City Excelsior B1.751.04%
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Pick
1 @ 1.90
Kickoff
Ago 28, 2026 10:45 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Started 1d 11h ago
Updated
Updated 1d 13h ago
Torna in alto