Guiseley vs Lancaster City
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Guiseley. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: GuiseleyGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.100 | A: -0.035Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.90. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England Northern Premier League (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Guiseley a useful statistical edge. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.
Guiseley – Lancaster City Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Balzan FC - Gzira United | 2.04 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Varzim - Trofense | 1.87 | 1.04% |
| WIN | AEK Larnaca - Apoel Nicosia | 1.87 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Diyala FC - Al Jolan SC | 2.11 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Pachuca U21 - Chivas Guadalajara U21 | 1.93 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Neftchi Fergana - Pakhtakor Tashkent | 1.85 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Veertien Mie - Vonds Ichihara | 2.00 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Grange Thistle - Moreton City Excelsior B | 1.75 | 1.04% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Istra 1961 - Slaven Belupo | 1 | 1.97 | 1.04% | 15 Aug 18:30 |
| NK Osijek - NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1 | 1.98 | 1.31% | 15 Aug 21:00 |
| Alajuelense (W) - Saprissa (W) | 1 | 1.75 | 1.04% | 20 Aug 04:00 |
| Tondela - Academica | 1 | 1.90 | 1.04% | 21 Aug 21:15 |
| Leixoes - UD Leiria | 1 | 2.13 | 1.31% | 22 Aug 12:00 |
| Chaves - AVS | 1 | 1.93 | 1.04% | 23 Aug 12:00 |
| LASK Linz - Celtic | 1 | 1.88 | 1.04% | 25 Aug 21:00 |