US Castanet – US Lege-Cap-Ferret

Model: TipA1

US Castanet vs US Lege-Cap-Ferret

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.60
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 29, 2026 8:30 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 2
StartStarted 16h 38m ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.63% · n=305
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 3h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is US Lege-Cap-Ferret. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: US Lege-Cap-FerretGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

49/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.60First seen
Current3.60Now
Max odds3.63Highest point
Min odds3.60Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

US CastanetHOME
VS
US Lege-Cap-FerretAWAY
DLLL
Recent form
D
Avg goals scored
0.75
2.00
Defensive weakness
2.25
2.00
Shots on target for
3.50
4.00
SoT conceded pressure
4.75
5.00
Home splitD-L1.00 scored / 3.00 conceded
Away splitD2.00 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.60. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.63% based on n=305 historical similar picks. The match belongs to France National 2 (fr). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.60
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.63% · n=305
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: -1.9% 7D: 21.2% 15D: 13.0% 30D: 10.5%
Model insight

US Castanet – US Lege-Cap-Ferret Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.60. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.63% across 305 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample54
Win Rate35.2%
Profit+14.25u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSWisla Krakow U19 - Talent Warsaw U193.502.63%
LOSSAl Fayha - Abha3.402.63%
WINLexington SC - Colorado Switchbacks FC3.402.63%
LOSSLDU Quito - SD Aucas3.752.27%
LOSSCucuta Deportivo - Alianza3.502.63%
WINKF Shkendija Haracine - KF Arsimi3.752.27%
LOSSDeportivo Maipu - Quilmes3.754.37%
LOSSDoncaster - Barnsley3.502.63%
Pick
2 @ 3.60
Kickoff
Ago 29, 2026 8:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.63% • n=305
Start
Started 16h 38m ago
Updated
Updated 1d 3h ago
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