Model: TipA1

Manly United U20 vs NWS Spirit FC U20

PREDICTION

@ 2.60

StatusUpcoming

KickoffSet 03, 2026 1:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 16h 50m

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.27% · n=1151

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 11m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is NWS Spirit FC U20. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: NWS Spirit FC U20Goal/Shots Index — H: 0.146 | A: -0.064

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

46/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.60First seen

Current2.60Now

Max odds2.60Highest point

Min odds2.60Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Manly United U20HOME

NWS Spirit FC U20AWAY

LWWDL

Recent form

LDLDL

Avg goals scored

1.20

1.60

Defensive weakness

1.00

2.60

Shots on target for

4.80

5.20

SoT conceded pressure

6.60

6.20

Home splitW-D-W-L-W2.20 scored / 0.60 conceded

Away splitL-L-L-L-D1.20 scored / 2.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.60. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.27% based on n=1151 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia New South Wales U20 League (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.60

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.27% · n=1151

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -0.7% 7D: -10.2% 15D: 14.2% 30D: 5.5%

Model insight

Manly United U20 – NWS Spirit FC U20 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.60. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.27% across 1151 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample214

Win Rate40.7%

Profit+4.78u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	JK Nomme United - Parnu JK Vaprus	2.50	4.27%
LOSS	Deportivo LSM - CA Bella Vista	2.40	4.27%
WIN	Liverpool Montevideo Reserves - Deportivo Maldonado Reserves	2.63	4.27%
LOSS	CS Vulturii Farcasesti - CS U Craiova II	2.60	4.27%
LOSS	Komarom VSE - MTE 1904	2.45	4.27%
LOSS	Slavia Prague U19 - Ceske Budejovice U19	2.75	4.44%
WIN	Cadiz Mirandilla - Club Atletico Central	2.60	4.27%
WIN	Itabirito U20 - Coimbra U20	2.45	4.27%

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Pick

2 @ 2.60

Kickoff

Set 03, 2026 1:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.27% • n=1151

Start

Starts in 16h 50m

Updated

Updated 11m ago