UD Tamaraceite – Sevilla Atletico

Model: TipTromba4H

UD Tamaraceite vs Sevilla Atletico

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.75
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffSet 06, 2026 3:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 1
StartStarted 2d 22h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.09% · n=255
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.09% · n=255
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 3d 7h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is UD Tamaraceite. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: UD TamaraceiteGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.060 | A: -0.090

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

55/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.81First seen
Current4.06Now
Max odds4.06Highest point
Min odds3.81Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

UD TamaraceiteHOME
VS
Sevilla AtleticoAWAY
LWLWL
Recent form
WDLLL
Avg goals scored
2.00
0.40
Defensive weakness
1.40
0.80
Shots on target for
6.00
4.60
SoT conceded pressure
4.40
3.20
Home splitL-W-W-W-W2.40 scored / 0.40 conceded
Away splitW-L-L-L-L0.40 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.75. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.09% based on n=255 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 (es). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.75
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.09% · n=255
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.09% · n=255
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, UD Tamaraceite shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to UD Tamaraceite's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: -5.5% 7D: 6.3% 15D: 9.8% 30D: 6.0%
Model insight

UD Tamaraceite – Sevilla Atletico Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.75. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba4H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.09% and 4.09%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample168
Win Rate31.5%
Profit+28.95u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSJK Trans Narva - FC Flora Tallinn3.804.84%
LOSSAtletico River Plate Reserves - Nacional de Montevideo Reserves3.754.09%
LOSS7 de Abril - Serra Macaense3.503.99%
WINFagiano Okayama - Sanfrecce Hiroshima3.904.09%
LOSSCalasancio - Alfaro3.804.09%
LOSSSun Hei - Sui Tung3.604.85%
LOSSJorge Gibson Brown - La Cantera FC3.804.09%
LOSSReal Murcia B - Orihuela3.754.09%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
FC Gagra - Torpedo Kutaisi13.503.99%10 Sep 19:00
Pick
1 @ 3.75
Kickoff
Set 06, 2026 3:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.09% • n=255
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.09% • n=255
Start
Started 2d 22h ago
Updated
Updated 3d 7h ago
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