Calasancio vs Alfaro
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Calasancio. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: CalasancioGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: -0.093Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.80. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.09% based on n=255 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Spain Tercera Group 16 (es). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor Calasancio. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.
Calasancio – Alfaro Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Fagiano Okayama - Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 3.90 | 4.09% |
| LOSS | UD Tamaraceite - Sevilla Atletico | 3.75 | 4.09% |
| LOSS | Sun Hei - Sui Tung | 3.60 | 4.85% |
| LOSS | Jorge Gibson Brown - La Cantera FC | 3.80 | 4.09% |
| LOSS | Real Murcia B - Orihuela | 3.75 | 4.09% |
| WIN | RC Hades - Antwerp II | 3.70 | 3.99% |
| LOSS | Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII - CS Metalurgistul Cugir | 3.75 | 4.09% |
| WIN | Audax RJ U20 - Sao Goncalo U20 | 3.70 | 3.99% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico River Plate Reserves - Nacional de Montevideo Reserves | 1 | 3.75 | 4.09% | 07 Sep 20:00 |