12 de Octubre vs River Plate Asuncion
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is 12 de Octubre. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: 12 de OctubreGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.020 | A: -0.045Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.10. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.63% based on n=146 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Paraguay Primera B (py). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors 12 de Octubre. The confidence band strengthens the case for the pick beyond the basic market price. 12 de Octubre has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
12 de Octubre – River Plate Asuncion Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Caroline Springs George Cross U23 - Avondale U23 | 2.00 | 6.63% |
| LOSS | Charlotte Independence - Hartford Athletic | 2.35 | 7.47% |
| WIN | Dundalk U20 - Klub Kildare U20 | 2.30 | 7.47% |
| LOSS | Rakow Czestochowa II - Odra Bytom Odrzanski | 2.10 | 6.63% |
| LOSS | Dosta Bystrc - Zdar nad Sazavou | 2.10 | 6.63% |
| LOSS | FCM Traiskirchen - SR Fach-Donaufeld | 2.20 | 6.63% |
| LOSS | Penang U20 - Kuching City U20 | 2.10 | 6.63% |
| WIN | Edgeworth Eagles - Belmont Swansea United SC | 2.00 | 6.63% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KCCA - NEC FC Bugolobi | 1 | 2.10 | 6.63% | 18 Aug 18:00 |