Model: TipTromba25H

KCCA vs NEC FC Bugolobi

PREDICTION

@ 2.10

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 18, 2026 8:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 21h 23m

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.63% · n=146

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.63% · n=146

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 4h 38m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is KCCA. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: KCCAGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.034 | A: 0.029

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

49/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

KCCAHOME

NEC FC BugolobiAWAY

WWWWD

Recent form

WWDLL

Avg goals scored

1.80

1.40

Defensive weakness

0.60

1.80

Shots on target for

5.40

3.20

SoT conceded pressure

2.60

6.20

Home splitW-W-W-W-D2.20 scored / 0.60 conceded

Away splitW-W-L-W-W1.40 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.10. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.63% based on n=146 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Uganda Super 8 (ug). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.10

V2 BandHIGHROI 6.63% · n=146

V4 BandHIGHROI 6.63% · n=146

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The confidence band strengthens the case for the pick beyond the basic market price. KCCA is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -2.5% 7D: -23.3% 15D: -4.5% 30D: 1.3%

Model insight

KCCA – NEC FC Bugolobi Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.10. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba25H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.63% and 6.63%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample34

Win Rate52.9%

Profit+4.20u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Caroline Springs George Cross U23 - Avondale U23	2.00	6.63%
LOSS	Charlotte Independence - Hartford Athletic	2.35	7.47%
WIN	Dundalk U20 - Klub Kildare U20	2.30	7.47%
LOSS	Rakow Czestochowa II - Odra Bytom Odrzanski	2.10	6.63%
LOSS	Dosta Bystrc - Zdar nad Sazavou	2.10	6.63%
LOSS	FCM Traiskirchen - SR Fach-Donaufeld	2.20	6.63%
LOSS	Penang U20 - Kuching City U20	2.10	6.63%
WIN	Edgeworth Eagles - Belmont Swansea United SC	2.00	6.63%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
12 de Octubre - River Plate Asuncion	1	2.10	6.63%	18 Aug 22:00

Pick

1 @ 2.10

Kickoff

Ago 18, 2026 8:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 6.63% • n=146

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

6.63% • n=146

Start

Starts in 21h 23m

Updated

Updated 4h 38m ago