Model: TIPPSH

24 de Setiembre vs Silvio Pettirossi

PREDICTION

@ 1.81

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 19, 2026 10:00 PM

ResultWIN4 - 1

StartStarted 1d ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 2h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is 24 de Setiembre. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: 24 de SetiembreGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.063 | A: -0.017

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

27/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.79First seen

Current1.81Now

Max odds1.81Highest point

Min odds1.79Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

24 de SetiembreHOME

Silvio PettirossiAWAY

WLDWD

Recent form

LLLLL

Avg goals scored

2.00

0.80

Defensive weakness

1.00

3.20

Shots on target for

5.20

4.20

SoT conceded pressure

4.60

9.00

Home splitW-D-W-L-D2.40 scored / 1.80 conceded

Away splitL-L-L-W-D2.20 scored / 3.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.81. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Paraguay Primera B (py). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.81

V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to 24 de Setiembre's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 64.8% 7D: 1.2% 15D: 2.4% 30D: 3.6%

Model insight

24 de Setiembre – Silvio Pettirossi Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.81. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample537

Win Rate51.8%

Profit-9.83u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	HooGee - EPS Reservi	2.05	1.04%
WIN	Real Pilar Reserves - Excursionistas Reserves	1.99	1.04%
LOSS	Gramadense - Lajeadense	1.76	1.31%
WIN	Aryan FC - Measurers Club	1.95	1.04%
LOSS	Gimnastica de Torrelavega - Rayo Cantabria	1.95	1.31%
WIN	Kagoshima United - Renofa Yamaguchi	1.82	1.31%
LOSS	Wisla Plock II - LKS Lomza	2.02	1.04%
LOSS	Slovan Bratislava - NK Celje	1.80	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 1.81

Kickoff

Ago 19, 2026 10:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.31% • n=2537

Start

Started 1d ago

Updated

Updated 1d 2h ago