Model: TIPPSH
Slovan Bratislava vs NK Celje
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.80
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 19, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 1d ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 13h ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Slovan Bratislava. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Slovan BratislavaGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.169 | A: 0.064Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
26/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.80First seen
Current1.80Now
Max odds1.81Highest point
Min odds1.69Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Slovan BratislavaHOME
VS
NK CeljeAWAY
DWWWW
Recent form
DWWWL
Avg goals scored
2.60
1.60
Defensive weakness
0.40
0.80
Shots on target for
4.60
4.40
SoT conceded pressure
2.40
3.80
Home splitD-W-W-W-D2.40 scored / 0.40 conceded
Away splitD-W-L-D-W2.40 scored / 1.40 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.80. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UEFA Champions League Qualifying. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.
Pick1
Odd1.80
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium
AI Match Insight
This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.
Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: 43.5%
7D: -4.5%
15D: -0.5%
30D: 3.1%
Model insight
Slovan Bratislava – NK Celje Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.80. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample521
Win Rate52.0%
Profit-8.38u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | HooGee - EPS Reservi | 2.05 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Real Pilar Reserves - Excursionistas Reserves | 1.99 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Gramadense - Lajeadense | 1.76 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Aryan FC - Measurers Club | 1.95 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Gimnastica de Torrelavega - Rayo Cantabria | 1.95 | 1.31% |
| WIN | 24 de Setiembre - Silvio Pettirossi | 1.79 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Kagoshima United - Renofa Yamaguchi | 1.82 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Wisla Plock II - LKS Lomza | 2.02 | 1.04% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Istra 1961 - Slaven Belupo | 1 | 1.97 | 1.04% | 15 Aug 18:30 |
| NK Osijek - NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1 | 1.98 | 1.31% | 15 Aug 21:00 |
| Alajuelense (W) - Saprissa (W) | 1 | 1.75 | 1.04% | 20 Aug 04:00 |
| Atletico Morelia - Correcaminos | 1 | 1.80 | 1.31% | 21 Aug 03:00 |
| SKU Amstetten - Hertha Wels | 1 | 1.93 | 1.04% | 21 Aug 18:30 |
| Sirius - BK Hacken | 1 | 1.79 | 1.04% | 21 Aug 19:00 |
| FK Mornar Bar - Buducnost Podgorica | 1 | 2.03 | 1.04% | 21 Aug 20:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.80
Kickoff
Ago 19, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Started 1d ago
Updated
Updated 1d 13h ago