Model: TIPPSH

Kagoshima United vs Renofa Yamaguchi

PREDICTION

@ 1.82

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 19, 2026 2:00 PM

ResultWIN2 - 1

StartStarted 1d 8h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 11h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Kagoshima United. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Kagoshima UnitedGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.122 | A: 0.041

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

27/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.97First seen

Current1.82Now

Max odds1.97Highest point

Min odds1.75Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Kagoshima UnitedHOME

Renofa YamaguchiAWAY

WWWWW

Recent form

LWLLW

Avg goals scored

1.80

1.20

Defensive weakness

0.40

1.40

Shots on target for

5.60

3.60

SoT conceded pressure

1.60

3.60

Home splitW-W-W-L-D1.20 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitL-L-L-W-D1.20 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.82. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Japan FA Cup (jp). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.82

V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Kagoshima United is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: 42.1% 7D: -5.3% 15D: -0.8% 30D: 2.9%

Model insight

Kagoshima United – Renofa Yamaguchi Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.82. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample550

Win Rate51.5%

Profit-12.48u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	HooGee - EPS Reservi	2.05	1.04%
WIN	Real Pilar Reserves - Excursionistas Reserves	1.99	1.04%
LOSS	Gramadense - Lajeadense	1.76	1.31%
WIN	Aryan FC - Measurers Club	1.95	1.04%
LOSS	CD Lara - Deportivo Rayo Zuliano	2.07	1.04%
LOSS	Gimnastica de Torrelavega - Rayo Cantabria	1.95	1.31%
WIN	24 de Setiembre - Silvio Pettirossi	1.79	1.31%
LOSS	Wisla Plock II - LKS Lomza	2.02	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 1.82

Kickoff

Ago 19, 2026 2:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.31% • n=2537

Start

Started 1d 8h ago

Updated

Updated 1d 11h ago