Model: TIPPSH
Adelaide Atletico vs Cumberland United
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.88
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 06, 2026 9:30 AM
ResultWIN2 - 1
StartStarted 45d 1h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.63% · n=470
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 45d 4h ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Adelaide Atletico. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Adelaide AtleticoGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
29/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.55First seen
Current1.88Now
Max odds2.55Highest point
Min odds1.62Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Adelaide AtleticoHOME
VS
Cumberland UnitedAWAY
WWDWW
Recent form
LWWLW
Avg goals scored
2.60
1.60
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.40
Shots on target for
4.60
3.80
SoT conceded pressure
3.60
4.80
Home splitW-D-W-L-W2.60 scored / 0.80 conceded
Away splitL-W-L-L-W0.80 scored / 1.20 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.88. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.63% based on n=470 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia South Australia State League 1 (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
Pick1
Odd1.88
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 BandLOWROI 1.63% · n=470
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh
AI Match Insight
In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Adelaide Atletico a useful statistical edge. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.
Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -4.3%
7D: -11.1%
15D: 13.0%
30D: 14.0%
Model insight
Adelaide Atletico – Cumberland United Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.88. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.04% and 1.63%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample334
Win Rate47.3%
Profit-28.75u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Penarol Reserves - Racing Club de Montevideo Reserves | 2.13 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Flint City Bucks - Steel City | 1.81 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Arsenal Tula - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 1.79 | 1.04% |
| WIN | South East United FC - Launceston United | 1.95 | 1.04% |
| WIN | St Pauli - HNK Gorica | 2.01 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Changchun Dazhong (W) - Sichuan Jiannanchun Women | 2.13 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Shaanxi Zhidan (W) - Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) | 2.00 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Flamengo SP U23 - Matonense U23 | 1.75 | 1.04% |
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| Millonarios - Atletico Bucaramanga | 1 | 1.88 | 1.31% | 26 Jul 01:10 |
| Vasco da Gama - Mirassol | 1 | 2.11 | 1.04% | 26 Jul 01:30 |
Pick
1 @ 1.88
Kickoff
Giu 06, 2026 9:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.63% • n=470
Start
Started 45d 1h ago
Updated
Updated 45d 4h ago