Olaria AC vs Nova Iguacu
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Olaria AC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Olaria ACGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.060 | A: -0.017Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.20. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.85% based on n=519 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Copa Rio (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.
Olaria AC – Nova Iguacu Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | IF Lyseng - Vejgaard B | 3.00 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa - MS Ashdod | 3.30 | 4.14% |
| LOSS | Sportowa Czworka Radom (W) - Medyk Konin (W) | 3.00 | 3.85% |
| WIN | Hartlepool - Fleetwood Town | 3.33 | 4.14% |
| WIN | Feyenoord - Atalanta | 3.30 | 4.14% |
| WIN | Athletic Bilbao B - Cultural Leonesa | 3.25 | 4.14% |
| LOSS | Itabirito U20 - Athletic Club MG U20 | 3.40 | 4.14% |
| LOSS | Coleraine - HJK Helsinki | 3.40 | 3.56% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Nucia - CF Intercity | 1 | 3.40 | 3.56% | 05 Aug 19:30 |
| Dulwich Hill - Macarthur Rams | 1 | 3.25 | 4.14% | 08 Aug 09:00 |
| QPR - Millwall | 1 | 3.00 | 3.85% | 08 Aug 15:00 |