AEK Larnaca – Apollon Limassol

Model: TIPPSH

AEK Larnaca – Apollon Limassol

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.09
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 06, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 20d 7h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 20d 11h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric AEK Larnaca Apollon Limassol
Last 5 form W-L-W-D-L L-W-D-L-W
Avg goals scored 0.80 1.60
Avg goals conceded 0.80 1.40
Home/Away form W-W-L (home) L-D-L-W (away)
Home/Away avg goals 1.00 scored / 0.67 conceded 0.75 scored / 1.50 conceded
Shots on target 5.00 for / 3.80 against 3.80 for / 6.40 against
Home/Away shots on target 5.00 for / 4.33 against (home) 4.33 for / 6.67 against (away)

AI Match Insight

The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. AEK Larnaca is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.20First seen
Current2.09Now
Max odds2.20Highest point
Min odds1.93Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight

AEK Larnaca – Apollon Limassol Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.09. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.86% and 4.86%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample263
Win Rate47.5%
Profit-13.33u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSBangor Celtic FC - St Mochtas2.272.49%
LOSSAF Chilibre - Deportivo Ana Luisa Flores2.123.37%
WINAscoli - Catania2.282.49%
WIN29 de Septiembre FBC - Club General Martin Ledesma2.313.15%
LOSSCentral & Western - Hoi King2.203.37%
WINKariya - Gakunan F Mosuperio2.282.49%
WINVarnsdorf - Mladá Boleslav B1.893.37%
LOSSSouth Melbourne - Auckland FC II1.843.37%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz11.984.86%09 May 13:00
FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina11.932.30%10 May 19:00
Pick
1 @ 2.09
Kickoff
Mag 06, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.86% • n=299
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.86% • n=299
Start
Started 20d 7h ago
Updated
Updated 20d 11h ago
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