AFC Telford vs Crewe
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is AFC Telford. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: AFC TelfordGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.072 | A: -0.029Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.20. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.86% based on n=258 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UK Friendlies (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
Although the odds are relatively high, AFC Telford shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.
AFC Telford – Crewe Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | STK Samorin - Al Gharafa | 4.00 | 4.86% |
| WIN | NIFS Kanoya FC - MHI Nagasaki | 4.00 | 4.86% |
| LOSS | Zulte-Waregem - AZ | 4.00 | 4.86% |
| LOSS | Bristol Rovers - Portsmouth | 4.10 | 2.97% |
| LOSS | JyTy - IFK Mariehamn II | 4.10 | 4.86% |
| LOSS | CD Espuce (W) - Macara (W) | 4.00 | 4.86% |
| LOSS | Americano RJ - Portuguesa RJ | 4.10 | 4.86% |
| LOSS | Guiseley - Harrogate Town | 4.00 | 2.97% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chertsey Town - Wealdstone | 1 | 4.00 | 4.86% | 21 Jul 20:30 |
| Radcliffe FC - Barrow | 1 | 4.00 | 4.86% | 21 Jul 20:30 |