Model: TipTromba3H

Al-Ahli Doha U23 vs Al-Shamal U23

PREDICTION

@ 2.63

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 07, 2026 8:00 PM

ResultLOSS3 - 3

StartStarted 66d ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.23% · n=188

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 66d 14h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Al-Ahli Doha U23. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Al-Ahli Doha U23

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

46/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.63First seen

Current2.63Now

Max odds2.63Highest point

Min odds2.63Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Al-Ahli Doha U23HOME

Al-Shamal U23AWAY

DWLWD

Recent form

DWWLW

Avg goals scored

2.00

1.80

Defensive weakness

1.60

1.20

Shots on target for

4.60

4.80

SoT conceded pressure

3.60

3.80

Home splitD-W-W-D1.75 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitD-W-L-W-D1.60 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.63. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.23% based on n=188 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Qatar Reserve League (qa). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.63

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.23% · n=188

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -22.3% 7D: -16.6% 15D: -2.4% 30D: 9.1%

Model insight

Al-Ahli Doha U23 – Al-Shamal U23 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.63. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba3H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.23% across 188 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample129

Win Rate38.8%

Profit+3.85u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Vasas SC - Kisvarda FC	2.60	2.55%
LOSS	Sacachispas U20 - Defensores de Glew U20	2.55	2.55%
LOSS	Unia Skierniewice - Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2.50	2.55%
WIN	Central Espanol Reserves - La Luz Reserves	2.80	4.49%
WIN	Ehime FC (W) - Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	2.75	4.49%
WIN	Polissya Zhytomyr - CSKA Sofia	2.75	4.49%
WIN	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Tai'an Tiankuang	2.80	4.49%
LOSS	Joy AC (W) - Minnesota Bliss (W)	2.70	2.55%

Pick

1 @ 2.63

Kickoff

Mag 07, 2026 8:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.23% • n=188

Start

Started 66d ago

Updated

Updated 66d 14h ago