Model: TipTromba4H

Al Faisaly Harmah vs Neom SC

PREDICTION

@ 3.80

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 21, 2026 10:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 2d

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.84% · n=104

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.84% · n=104

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 11m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Al Faisaly Harmah. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Al Faisaly HarmahGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.115 | A: 0.358

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

58/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.75First seen

Current4.10Now

Max odds4.57Highest point

Min odds3.75Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Al Faisaly HarmahHOME

Neom SCAWAY

LLWWW

Recent form

WWWWW

Avg goals scored

2.20

Defensive weakness

1.40

0.60

Shots on target for

5.00

1.40

SoT conceded pressure

2.60

Home splitL-W-W-W-W2.40 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitW-W-W-L-D1.00 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.80. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.84% based on n=104 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Saudi Arabia Pro League (sa). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd3.80

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.84% · n=104

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.84% · n=104

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Al Faisaly Harmah is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: 54.9% 7D: -4.2% 15D: -0.3% 30D: 3.3%

Model insight

Al Faisaly Harmah – Neom SC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.80. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba4H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.84% and 4.84%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample109

Win Rate29.4%

Profit+10.90u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	TJ Partizan Osrblie - TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele	3.75	4.09%
LOSS	CE L'Hospitalet - Barcelona B	3.90	4.09%
WIN	Mainz - Bournemouth	3.80	4.09%
WIN	Borussia M'gladbach - Aston Villa	3.75	4.84%
LOSS	KF Vushtrria - Malisheva	3.80	4.09%
LOSS	Laholms FK - Jonkopings Sodra	3.90	4.84%
LOSS	Progresul Mogosoaia - CS Concordia Chiajna	3.70	3.99%
LOSS	FK Brandys nad Labem - Varnsdorf	3.90	4.09%

Pick

1 @ 3.80

Kickoff

Ago 21, 2026 10:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.84% • n=104

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

4.84% • n=104

Start

Starts in 2d

Updated

Updated 11m ago