Model: TIPPSH
FK Zhenys vs Kaisar Kyzylorda
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.88
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 19, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultWIN3 - 2
StartStarted 2h 48m ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 5h 2m ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is FK Zhenys. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: FK ZhenysGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.015 | A: 0.083Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
28/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.19First seen
Current2.00Now
Max odds2.61Highest point
Min odds2.00Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
FK ZhenysHOME
VS
Kaisar KyzylordaAWAY
WWDLL
Recent form
LLWDD
Avg goals scored
2.00
1.60
Defensive weakness
1.80
1.60
Shots on target for
6.40
4.20
SoT conceded pressure
5.60
6.00
Home splitW-W-D-D-D2.00 scored / 1.20 conceded
Away splitL-D-L-W-W1.40 scored / 1.40 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.88. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Kazakhstan Cup (kz). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
Pick1
Odd1.88
V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh
AI Match Insight
The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors FK Zhenys. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to FK Zhenys's attacking profile.
Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: 54.9%
7D: -4.2%
15D: -0.3%
30D: 3.3%
Model insight
FK Zhenys – Kaisar Kyzylorda Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.88. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample622
Win Rate52.1%
Profit+2.68u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Kagoshima United - Renofa Yamaguchi | 1.82 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Wisla Plock II - LKS Lomza | 2.02 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Flota Swinoujscie - Victoria Wrzesnia | 1.79 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Pena Sport - Mutilvera | 1.86 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Scolar Resita - Petrolul Ploiesti | 2.05 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Wealdstone - Wolverhampton U21 | 1.79 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Hapoel Kfar Shalem - SC Kfar Qasim | 1.80 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Halifax - Derby U21 | 1.85 | 1.04% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Istra 1961 - Slaven Belupo | 1 | 1.97 | 1.04% | 15 Aug 18:30 |
| NK Osijek - NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1 | 1.98 | 1.31% | 15 Aug 21:00 |
| Kolding IF (W) - Odense BK (W) | 1 | 1.77 | 1.31% | 19 Aug 19:00 |
| Gimnastica de Torrelavega - Rayo Cantabria | 1 | 1.95 | 1.31% | 19 Aug 19:00 |
| 24 de Setiembre - Silvio Pettirossi | 1 | 1.79 | 1.31% | 19 Aug 20:00 |
| Slovan Bratislava - NK Celje | 1 | 1.80 | 1.04% | 19 Aug 21:00 |
| FC Cincinnati - New York City FC | 1 | 2.04 | 1.04% | 20 Aug 01:30 |
Pick
1 @ 1.88
Kickoff
Ago 19, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.31% • n=2537
Start
Started 2h 48m ago
Updated
Updated 5h 2m ago