Model: TIPPSH
UMF Selfoss vs Kari
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.68
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 19, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1h 7m
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -9.21% · n=1970
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 6h 16m ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is UMF Selfoss. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: UMF SelfossGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.097 | A: 0.145Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
3/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.68First seen
Current1.68Now
Max odds1.72Highest point
Min odds1.68Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
UMF SelfossHOME
VS
KariAWAY
WLWWW
Recent form
WDDWW
Avg goals scored
3.40
2.80
Defensive weakness
1.40
1.00
Shots on target for
4.80
7.20
SoT conceded pressure
5.20
5.20
Home splitW-W-W-D-W3.80 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitD-W-W-L-W2.80 scored / 1.60 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.68. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -9.21% based on n=1970 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Iceland 2 Deild (is). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.
Pick1
Odd1.68
V2 BandNONEROI -9.21% · n=1970
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityLow
AI Match Insight
The odds suggest a clear favorite, although the recent form gap is not as dominant as the price might imply. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.
Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: 54.9%
7D: -4.2%
15D: -0.3%
30D: 3.3%
Model insight
UMF Selfoss – Kari Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.68. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -9.21% across 1970 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample379
Win Rate62.0%
Profit+15.39u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Club Sport Colombia - Presidente Hayes | 1.69 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Wigan - Aston Villa U21 | 1.68 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Coquimbo Unido (W) - Huachipato (W) | 1.63 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | Dinamo Zagreb - Viking FK | 1.72 | -9.89% |
| LOSS | Mindil Aces - Darwin Olympic | 1.63 | -7.35% |
| LOSS | FK Spartak Kostroma - FC Ufa | 1.70 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Deportivo San Pedro - Aurora | 1.66 | -4.66% |
| WIN | Aland United (W) - HPS (W) | 1.71 | -10.11% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC | 1 | 1.63 | -7.35% | 05 Jun 12:30 |
| Guijuelo - CDA Palencia | 1 | 1.70 | -9.21% | 07 Jun 18:00 |
| Real Oviedo B - Caudal | 1 | 1.72 | -7.35% | 19 Aug 19:00 |
| Nairn County - Lossiemouth | 1 | 1.63 | -7.35% | 19 Aug 21:00 |
| New York City FC II - FC Cincinnati II | 1 | 1.75 | -4.66% | 19 Aug 23:00 |
| One Knoxville SC - Portland Hearts of Pine | 1 | 1.66 | -7.35% | 20 Aug 01:00 |
| Houston Dash (W) - Chicago Stars (W) | 1 | 1.69 | -10.11% | 20 Aug 02:00 |
| CD Marathon - Alianza FC | 1 | 1.65 | -9.21% | 20 Aug 03:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.68
Kickoff
Ago 19, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -9.21% • n=1970
Start
Starts in 1h 7m
Updated
Updated 6h 16m ago