Model: TIPPSH
Al Moqawloon Al Arab – El Gounah
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.18
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 08, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 18d 10h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 18d 13h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Al Moqawloon Al Arab | El Gounah |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-D-D-D-W | L-D-D-W-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Home/Away form | W-D-D-W-W (home) | L-D-W-D-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.00 scored / 0.20 conceded | 0.60 scored / 0.80 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.40 for / 2.80 against | 2.60 for / 4.80 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.40 for / 3.00 against (home) | 2.00 for / 3.60 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Al Moqawloon Al Arab's attacking profile.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.15First seen
Current2.20Now
Max odds2.32Highest point
Min odds2.15Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Al Moqawloon Al Arab – El Gounah Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.18. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.86% and 4.86%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample201
Win Rate45.8%
Profit-12.30u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Bangor Celtic FC - St Mochtas | 2.27 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | AF Chilibre - Deportivo Ana Luisa Flores | 2.12 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Ascoli - Catania | 2.28 | 2.49% |
| WIN | 29 de Septiembre FBC - Club General Martin Ledesma | 2.31 | 3.15% |
| LOSS | Central & Western - Hoi King | 2.20 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Kariya - Gakunan F Mosuperio | 2.28 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Leones de Rosario - General Lamadrid | 2.38 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | B36 Torshavn II - Vikingur Gota II | 2.21 | 3.37% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina | 1 | 1.93 | 2.30% | 10 May 19:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.18
Kickoff
Mag 08, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.86% • n=299
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.86% • n=299
Start
Started 18d 10h ago
Updated
Updated 18d 13h ago