Model: TipTromba45H

Al Shabab Manama vs Sitra

PREDICTION

@ 4.00

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 10, 2026 8:00 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 3

StartStarted 62d 20h ago

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.21% · n=215

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.21% · n=215

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 63d 14h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Al Shabab Manama. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Al Shabab Manama

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

60/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds4.00First seen

Current4.00Now

Max odds4.00Highest point

Min odds4.00Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Al Shabab ManamaHOME

SitraAWAY

LLWLD

Recent form

WLWLL

Avg goals scored

0.60

1.20

Defensive weakness

1.80

Shots on target for

4.20

2.80

SoT conceded pressure

4.60

4.20

Home splitL-W-D1.00 scored / 1.33 conceded

Away splitW-W-L1.67 scored / 1.33 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.00. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.21% based on n=215 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Bahrain Premier League (bh). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd4.00

V2 BandHIGHROI 5.21% · n=215

V4 BandHIGHROI 5.21% · n=215

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. Comparable matches classified within the HIGH confidence range have historically generated positive model outcomes. Al Shabab Manama has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: 9.9% 7D: -5.4% 15D: -2.8% 30D: 2.2%

Model insight

Al Shabab Manama – Sitra Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba45H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 5.21% and 5.21%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample16

Win Rate0.0%

Profit-16.00u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Bala Town - Colwyn Bay	4.00	6.51%
LOSS	Annan Athletic - Queen's Park	4.20	6.51%
LOSS	CA Atlas - Berazategui	4.20	5.21%
LOSS	PVF-CAND II - Ho Chi Minh City	4.10	5.21%
LOSS	Apotheos - Columbus United FC	4.20	5.21%
LOSS	Bay Olympic - Auckland City	4.10	5.21%
LOSS	FC Amitie 2020 - ASAC Concorde	4.00	5.21%
LOSS	Duhok - Al Quwa Al Jawiya	4.10	5.21%

Pick

1 @ 4.00

Kickoff

Mag 10, 2026 8:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 5.21% • n=215

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

5.21% • n=215

Start

Started 62d 20h ago

Updated

Updated 63d 14h ago