Bay Olympic vs Auckland City
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Bay Olympic. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Bay OlympicValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.10. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.21% based on n=215 historical similar picks. The match belongs to New Zealand Northern League (nz). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. Historical model performance remains supportive, with similar HIGH underdog setups showing encouraging long-term results. Bay Olympic has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Bay Olympic – Auckland City Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Bala Town - Colwyn Bay | 4.00 | 6.51% |
| LOSS | Annan Athletic - Queen's Park | 4.20 | 6.51% |
| LOSS | Melbourne Victory NPL (W) - Bulleen Lions (W) | 4.33 | 6.48% |
| LOSS | CA Atlas - Berazategui | 4.20 | 5.21% |
| LOSS | PVF-CAND II - Ho Chi Minh City | 4.10 | 5.21% |
| LOSS | Al Shabab Manama - Sitra | 4.00 | 5.21% |
| LOSS | Apotheos - Columbus United FC | 4.20 | 5.21% |
| LOSS | FC Amitie 2020 - ASAC Concorde | 4.00 | 5.21% |