Model: TipTromba45H
Bay Olympic – Auckland City
PREDICTION
1
@ 4.10
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 02, 2026 7:00 AM
ResultLOSS1 - 4
StartStarted 24d 17h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.21% · n=215
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.21% · n=215
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 25d 6h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Bay Olympic | Auckland City |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-L-L-D-W | W-W-D-W-L |
| Avg goals scored | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Home/Away form | L-L-L-W (home) | W-D-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.50 scored / 1.75 conceded | 1.33 scored / 0.67 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.00 for / 5.40 against | 4.00 for / 3.20 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.75 for / 5.75 against (home) | 3.33 for / 3.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor Bay Olympic. Comparable matches classified within the HIGH confidence range have historically generated positive model outcomes. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Bay Olympic's attacking profile.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.00First seen
Current4.33Now
Max odds4.33Highest point
Min odds4.00Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Bay Olympic – Auckland City Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.10. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba45H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 5.21% and 5.21%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample15
Win Rate0.0%
Profit-15.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Melbourne Victory NPL (W) - Bulleen Lions (W) | 4.33 | 6.48% |
| LOSS | CA Atlas - Berazategui | 4.20 | 5.21% |
| LOSS | PVF-CAND II - Ho Chi Minh City | 4.10 | 5.21% |
| LOSS | Al Shabab Manama - Sitra | 4.00 | 5.21% |
| LOSS | Apotheos - Columbus United FC | 4.20 | 5.21% |
| LOSS | FC Amitie 2020 - ASAC Concorde | 4.00 | 5.21% |
| LOSS | Duhok - Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 4.10 | 5.21% |
| LOSS | CD Choloma Reserves - Real Espana Reserves | 4.00 | 5.21% |
Pick
1 @ 4.10
Kickoff
Mag 02, 2026 7:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 5.21% • n=215
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
5.21% • n=215
Start
Started 24d 17h ago
Updated
Updated 25d 6h ago