Bay Olympic – Auckland City

Model: TipTromba45H

Bay Olympic vs Auckland City

PREDICTION
1
@ 4.10
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 02, 2026 7:00 AM
ResultLOSS1 - 4
StartStarted 70d 7h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.21% · n=215
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.21% · n=215
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 70d 20h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Bay Olympic. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Bay Olympic

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

61/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.00First seen
Current4.33Now
Max odds4.33Highest point
Min odds4.00Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Bay OlympicHOME
VS
Auckland CityAWAY
LLLDW
Recent form
WWDWL
Avg goals scored
0.60
2.40
Defensive weakness
1.60
1.00
Shots on target for
5.00
4.00
SoT conceded pressure
5.40
3.20
Home splitL-L-L-W0.50 scored / 1.75 conceded
Away splitW-D-L1.33 scored / 0.67 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.10. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.21% based on n=215 historical similar picks. The match belongs to New Zealand Northern League (nz). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd4.10
V2 BandHIGHROI 5.21% · n=215
V4 BandHIGHROI 5.21% · n=215
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. Historical model performance remains supportive, with similar HIGH underdog setups showing encouraging long-term results. Bay Olympic has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -20.9% 7D: -2.9% 15D: -3.0% 30D: 10.0%
Model insight

Bay Olympic – Auckland City Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.10. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba45H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 5.21% and 5.21%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample17
Win Rate0.0%
Profit-17.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSBala Town - Colwyn Bay4.006.51%
LOSSAnnan Athletic - Queen's Park4.206.51%
LOSSMelbourne Victory NPL (W) - Bulleen Lions (W)4.336.48%
LOSSCA Atlas - Berazategui4.205.21%
LOSSPVF-CAND II - Ho Chi Minh City4.105.21%
LOSSAl Shabab Manama - Sitra4.005.21%
LOSSApotheos - Columbus United FC4.205.21%
LOSSFC Amitie 2020 - ASAC Concorde4.005.21%
Pick
1 @ 4.10
Kickoff
Mag 02, 2026 7:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 5.21% • n=215
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
5.21% • n=215
Start
Started 70d 7h ago
Updated
Updated 70d 20h ago
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