Bala Town vs Colwyn Bay
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Bala Town. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Bala TownValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.00. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.51% based on n=53 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UK Friendlies (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. The HIGH confidence band is important here: similar higher-priced setups have historically produced positive model results. Bala Town has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Bala Town – Colwyn Bay Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | CA Atlas - Berazategui | 4.20 | 5.21% |
| LOSS | PVF-CAND II - Ho Chi Minh City | 4.10 | 5.21% |
| LOSS | Al Shabab Manama - Sitra | 4.00 | 5.21% |
| LOSS | Apotheos - Columbus United FC | 4.20 | 5.21% |
| LOSS | Bay Olympic - Auckland City | 4.10 | 5.21% |
| LOSS | FC Amitie 2020 - ASAC Concorde | 4.00 | 5.21% |
| LOSS | Duhok - Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 4.10 | 5.21% |
| LOSS | CD Choloma Reserves - Real Espana Reserves | 4.00 | 5.21% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annan Athletic - Queen's Park | 1 | 4.20 | 6.51% | 27 Jun 16:00 |