Model: TIPPSH

Aland United (W) vs HPS (W)

PREDICTION

@ 1.92

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 16, 2026 7:00 PM

ResultWIN2 - 1

StartStarted 1h 11m ago

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.72% · n=285

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.72% · n=285

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 3h 25m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Aland United (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Aland United (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: 0.097 | A: -0.090

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

47/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.12First seen

Current1.92Now

Max odds2.12Highest point

Min odds1.65Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Aland United (W)HOME

HPS (W)AWAY

WWWWW

Recent form

WLLDW

Avg goals scored

3.60

1.80

Defensive weakness

0.60

1.80

Shots on target for

6.80

4.40

SoT conceded pressure

2.20

5.60

Home splitW-W-W-L-D2.80 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitL-W-W-D-L1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.92. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.72% based on n=285 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women (fi). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.92

V2 BandHIGHROI 6.72% · n=285

V4 BandHIGHROI 6.72% · n=285

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The model places this selection in a historically favorable confidence range. Aland United (W) has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -23.4% 7D: -16.2% 15D: 0.8% 30D: 4.4%

Model insight

Aland United (W) – HPS (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.92. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.72% and 6.72%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample24

Win Rate58.3%

Profit+3.74u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Barrancas FC U20 - Deportivo Paraguayo U20	2.16	6.72%
LOSS	Barnsley - Bromley	1.96	6.72%
LOSS	Souths United - Taringa Rovers	1.94	6.72%
LOSS	Nelson Suburbs - Christchurch United	1.72	5.11%
WIN	Sabah - AGF Aarhus	2.00	6.72%
LOSS	Vysocina Jihlava - FK Pribram	2.01	6.72%
WIN	Sporting - Nottm Forest	2.05	6.72%
WIN	Portland Timbers - Seattle Sounders	2.14	6.72%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Leones FC - Guayaquil City	1	1.87	6.72%	23 Jul 23:30
VfB Stuttgart II - FC Viktoria Köln	1	2.09	6.72%	16 Aug 19:30

Pick

1 @ 1.92

Kickoff

Ago 16, 2026 7:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 6.72% • n=285

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

6.72% • n=285

Start

Started 1h 11m ago

Updated

Updated 3h 25m ago