Model: TIPPSH

Leyton Orient vs AFC Wimbledon

PREDICTION

@ 2.04

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 18, 2026 10:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 2d 2h

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 7m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Leyton Orient. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Leyton OrientGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.092 | A: -0.104

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

30/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.83First seen

Current2.04Now

Max odds2.12Highest point

Min odds1.83Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Leyton OrientHOME

AFC WimbledonAWAY

LWWWL

Recent form

LDLLW

Avg goals scored

2.60

1.00

Defensive weakness

1.20

1.60

Shots on target for

6.40

3.20

SoT conceded pressure

3.60

5.00

Home splitL-W-W-W-D1.80 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitL-L-W-W-L0.60 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.04. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England EFL Trophy (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.04

V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Leyton Orient a useful statistical edge. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Leyton Orient has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -21.9% 7D: -15.5% 15D: 0.4% 30D: 4.8%

Model insight

Leyton Orient – AFC Wimbledon Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.04. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample670

Win Rate50.3%

Profit+4.72u

Historical Similar Predictions

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WIN	SK Sturm Graz (W) - FC Salzburg (W)	1.90	1.04%
LOSS	Benatky Nad Jizerou - Hradec Kralove B	2.10	1.31%
WIN	Lautoka FC - Nadi FC	1.85	1.31%
LOSS	Blacktown City U20 - University NSW U20	2.20	1.31%

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Pick

1 @ 2.04

Kickoff

Ago 18, 2026 10:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.31% • n=2537

Start

Starts in 2d 2h

Updated

Updated 7m ago