Alianza Atletico – Cienciano

Model: TIPPSH

Alianza Atletico vs Cienciano

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.26
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 07, 2026 12:00 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 3d 18h
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 39m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Alianza Atletico. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Alianza AtleticoGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.030 | A: 0.007

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

36/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.91First seen
Current2.26Now
Max odds2.35Highest point
Min odds1.91Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Alianza AtleticoHOME
VS
CiencianoAWAY
LWLWW
Recent form
WWLLL
Avg goals scored
2.00
1.40
Defensive weakness
2.20
1.40
Shots on target for
4.80
3.60
SoT conceded pressure
6.20
4.40
Home splitW-W-W-D-L1.80 scored / 1.20 conceded
Away splitL-L-W-W-D1.20 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.26. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.49% based on n=1025 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Peru Liga 1 (pe). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.26
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Alianza Atletico has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 55.9% 7D: 15.0% 15D: 7.5% 30D: 10.7%
Model insight

Alianza Atletico – Cienciano Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.26. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.49% and 2.49%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample209
Win Rate42.6%
Profit-15.24u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSClub America U21 - Santos Laguna U212.302.49%
LOSSLuton - Go Ahead Eagles2.252.49%
LOSSConnah's Quay - Caernarfon Town2.352.49%
WINROW 1964 Rybnik - Warta Gorzow2.282.49%
LOSSClermont Foot - Grenoble2.433.15%
WINTäfteå IK - Gottne IF2.193.37%
LOSSFC Yaypan Fergana - Fardu Ferghana2.153.37%
LOSSHibernian - Motherwell2.282.49%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Kerry FC - Cobh Ramblers12.472.49%03 Aug 18:00
Velez Sarsfield - CA Independiente12.492.49%04 Aug 00:00
Pick
1 @ 2.26
Kickoff
Ago 07, 2026 12:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.49% • n=1025
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.49% • n=1025
Start
Starts in 3d 18h
Updated
Updated 39m ago
Torna in alto