Model: TipTromba3H
Altona City – Keilor Park
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.50
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 16, 2026 12:15 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 1
StartStarted 10d 13h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.50% · n=493
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 11d 2h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Altona City | Keilor Park |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-W-L-L-D | W-W-L-D-D |
| Avg goals scored | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Home/Away form | L-L-L (home) | W-L-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.00 scored / 1.33 conceded | 0.67 scored / 2.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.80 for / 5.60 against | 2.60 for / 2.80 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 2.00 for / 3.67 against (home) | 2.67 for / 4.67 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Altona City is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.50First seen
Current2.57Now
Max odds2.57Highest point
Min odds2.50Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Altona City – Keilor Park Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba3H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.50% across 493 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample95
Win Rate37.9%
Profit-1.23u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Deportivo Armenio - Argentino Merlo | 2.75 | 4.49% |
| LOSS | Deportivo Laferrere - Atletico Camioneros | 2.60 | 2.55% |
| LOSS | Oyonesa - Varea | 2.63 | 2.50% |
| WIN | Al Bataeh U23 - Shabab Al Ahli Dubai U23 | 2.70 | 2.06% |
| WIN | Austin FC II - St Louis City II | 2.55 | 2.06% |
| LOSS | FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W) - Kleinmunchen/Blau-Weiss Linz (W) | 2.75 | 4.12% |
| WIN | FC Raengdai - Chhaygaon FC | 2.50 | 2.06% |
| LOSS | Kayserispor U19 - Konyaspor U19 | 2.50 | 2.50% |
Pick
1 @ 2.50
Kickoff
Mag 16, 2026 12:15 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.50% • n=493
Start
Started 10d 13h ago
Updated
Updated 11d 2h ago