Altona City – Keilor Park

Model: TipTromba3H

Altona City vs Keilor Park

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.50
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 16, 2026 12:15 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 1
StartStarted 56d 10h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.50% · n=493
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 56d 23h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Altona City. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Altona City

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

39/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.50First seen
Current2.57Now
Max odds2.57Highest point
Min odds2.50Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Altona CityHOME
VS
Keilor ParkAWAY
LWLLD
Recent form
WWLDD
Avg goals scored
1.00
0.80
Defensive weakness
1.40
1.20
Shots on target for
3.80
2.60
SoT conceded pressure
5.60
2.80
Home splitL-L-L0.00 scored / 1.33 conceded
Away splitW-L-L0.67 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.50. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.50% based on n=493 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Victoria Premier League 2 (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.50
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.50% · n=493
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Altona City has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 27.2% 7D: 14.2% 15D: -4.7% 30D: -1.5%
Model insight

Altona City – Keilor Park Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba3H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.50% across 493 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample108
Win Rate37.0%
Profit-3.63u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINVasas SC - Kisvarda FC2.602.55%
LOSSSacachispas U20 - Defensores de Glew U202.552.55%
LOSSUnia Skierniewice - Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki2.502.55%
WINEhime FC (W) - Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)2.754.49%
WINPolissya Zhytomyr - CSKA Sofia2.754.49%
LOSSJoy AC (W) - Minnesota Bliss (W)2.702.55%
LOSSAuckland FC II - Western Springs AFC2.754.49%
LOSSFC Gori - FC Gareji2.552.55%
Pick
1 @ 2.50
Kickoff
Mag 16, 2026 12:15 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.50% • n=493
Start
Started 56d 10h ago
Updated
Updated 56d 23h ago
Torna in alto