JK Nomme United II – FC Elva

Model: TipA1

JK Nomme United II vs FC Elva

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.70
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 16, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 0
StartStarted 56d 2h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.39% · n=969
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 56d 22h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FC Elva. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FC Elva

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

48/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.30First seen
Current2.73Now
Max odds2.73Highest point
Min odds2.30Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

JK Nomme United IIHOME
VS
FC ElvaAWAY
WDLDL
Recent form
LWLDL
Avg goals scored
1.60
1.80
Defensive weakness
2.20
2.20
Shots on target for
4.80
6.60
SoT conceded pressure
7.60
6.00
Home splitW-L-L0.67 scored / 2.00 conceded
Away splitL-D-L-L1.50 scored / 2.25 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.70. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.39% based on n=969 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Estonia Esiliiga (ee). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.70
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.39% · n=969
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market prices FC Elva as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to FC Elva's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 27.2% 7D: 14.2% 15D: -4.7% 30D: -1.5%
Model insight

JK Nomme United II – FC Elva Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.70. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.39% across 969 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample103
Win Rate37.9%
Profit-3.37u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSABB U19 - CDT Real Oruro U192.634.27%
LOSSMarcilio Dias - Portuguesa Desportos2.454.27%
LOSSHPS - Reipas2.504.27%
WINOdd BK - Haugesund2.704.27%
LOSSSC Kalsdorf - FC Marchfeld Donauauen2.604.27%
WINGold Coast Knights U23 - Moreton City Excelsior U232.504.27%
LOSSModbury Vista Reserves (W) - Salisbury Inter Reserves (W)2.504.27%
WINArgentino Quilmes - Talleres Remedios2.504.27%
Pick
2 @ 2.70
Kickoff
Mag 16, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.39% • n=969
Start
Started 56d 2h ago
Updated
Updated 56d 22h ago
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