Model: TipTromba35H
America RJ – Madureira RJ
PREDICTION
1
@ 3.40
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 16, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultWIN3 - 1
StartStarted 10d 3h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.27% · n=283
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 10d 9h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | America RJ | Madureira RJ |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-W-L-W-D | L-W-L-L-D |
| Avg goals scored | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Home/Away form | W-D-L-D-L (home) | L-L-D-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.80 scored / 1.60 conceded | 0.50 scored / 1.75 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.20 for / 3.40 against | 3.20 for / 5.60 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.40 for / 5.20 against (home) | 2.75 for / 6.25 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Although the odds are relatively high, America RJ shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. America RJ has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.80First seen
Current3.46Now
Max odds3.46Highest point
Min odds2.63Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
America RJ – Madureira RJ Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.40. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.27% across 283 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample80
Win Rate30.0%
Profit-0.42u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Uberabinha U20 - Inter De Minas U20 | 3.25 | 3.56% |
| LOSS | Minas Boca U20 - Betim FC U20 | 3.40 | 3.56% |
| LOSS | KF Ferizaj - KF Dukagjini | 3.30 | 3.56% |
| LOSS | Central Coast United FC - Bonnyrigg White Eagles | 3.25 | 3.56% |
| LOSS | Chattanooga Red Wolves - Birmingham Legion FC | 3.20 | 3.58% |
| LOSS | Real Santa Cruz - Integracion Del Norte San Juan | 3.40 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | FK Cukaricki - Partizan Belgrade | 3.30 | 2.87% |
| WIN | Jiangxi Lushan - Dalian K'un City | 3.40 | 2.87% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cyprus U19 - Greece U19 | 1 | 3.25 | 3.56% | 27 May 09:00 |
| LePa - EIF Academy | 1 | 3.40 | 3.56% | 27 May 19:15 |
Pick
1 @ 3.40
Kickoff
Mag 16, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.27% • n=283
Start
Started 10d 3h ago
Updated
Updated 10d 9h ago