Model: TipTromba45H

Americano MA vs Tupan MA

PREDICTION

@ 4.33

StatusUpcoming

KickoffGiu 24, 2026 10:30 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 20h 12m

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.19% · n=77

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.19% · n=77

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 7m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Americano MA. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Americano MA

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Balanced

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

59/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Americano MAHOME

Tupan MAAWAY

Recent form

WLD

Avg goals scored

1.00

1.33

Defensive weakness

0.00

1.33

Shots on target for

7.00

3.00

SoT conceded pressure

3.00

3.33

Home splitN/AN/A scored / N/A conceded

Away splitL-D1.50 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.33. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.19% based on n=77 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Campeonato Maranhense B (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd4.33

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.19% · n=77

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.19% · n=77

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Americano MA's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 12.3% 7D: -2.9% 15D: 2.6% 30D: 0.3%

Model insight

Americano MA – Tupan MA Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.33. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba45H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.19% and 4.19%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample8

Win Rate37.5%

Profit+4.86u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Gremio Desportivo Valparaiso U20 - Real Brasilia U20	4.33	4.19%
LOSS	America RJ - XV Piracicaba	4.10	2.97%
LOSS	Mayfield United - Midleton FC	4.33	4.19%
LOSS	Itapirense U20 - Ferroviaria SP U20	4.33	4.19%
WIN	Altona Magic U23 - Oakleigh Cannons U23	4.20	4.86%
LOSS	AIK (W) - Malmo FF (W)	4.10	4.86%
WIN	University NSW - Sydney United 58	4.33	4.19%
WIN	Transport United FC - Thimphu City	4.33	4.19%

Pick

1 @ 4.33

Kickoff

Giu 24, 2026 10:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.19% • n=77

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

4.19% • n=77

Start

Starts in 20h 12m

Updated

Updated 7m ago