Model: TIPPSH

Antwerp vs Genk

PREDICTION

@ 3.33

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 22, 2026 10:45 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 4d 4h

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.88% · n=230

V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -2.18% · n=24

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 17m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Antwerp. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: AntwerpGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.027 | A: -0.008

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

30/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.37First seen

Current3.33Now

Max odds3.37Highest point

Min odds3.33Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

AntwerpHOME

GenkAWAY

WWLLW

Recent form

WLWWL

Avg goals scored

1.80

Defensive weakness

0.80

2.00

Shots on target for

5.40

2.60

SoT conceded pressure

4.00

3.80

Home splitW-W-W-L-L1.40 scored / 1.40 conceded

Away splitL-L-L-L-W1.00 scored / 2.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.33. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -2.18% based on n=24 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Belgium First Division A (be). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd3.33

V2 BandNONEROI -1.88% · n=230

V4 BandNONEROI -2.18% · n=24

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The market prices Antwerp as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Antwerp has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -29.6% 7D: -23.7% 15D: -5.1% 30D: 0.7%

Model insight

Antwerp – Genk Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.33. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.88% and -2.18%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample19

Win Rate42.1%

Profit+6.62u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Bochum II - Rot-Weiss Oberhausen	3.09	-2.37%
LOSS	Girona B - UE Sant Andreu	3.29	-1.88%
WIN	Racing Club de Montevideo - Nacional De Football	3.27	-1.88%
WIN	Unia Skierniewice - Arka Gdynia	3.36	-1.88%
LOSS	Chongqing Tonglianglong - Shanghai Port	3.35	-1.88%
LOSS	Charleroi - Rayo Vallecano	3.26	-1.88%
WIN	UCD - Cork City	3.11	-2.37%
LOSS	Hume City - Oakleigh Cannons	3.27	-1.88%

Pick

1 @ 3.33

Kickoff

Ago 22, 2026 10:45 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -1.88% • n=230

Confidence V4

CONF V4: NONE

Exp. ROI V4

-2.18% • n=24

Start

Starts in 4d 4h

Updated

Updated 17m ago