Model: TIPPSH

Nice vs Lorient

PREDICTION

@ 2.15

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 22, 2026 10:45 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 4d 4h

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 13m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Nice. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: NiceGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.035 | A: 0.071

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

30/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.14First seen

Current2.15Now

Max odds2.15Highest point

Min odds2.14Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

NiceHOME

LorientAWAY

DDLWW

Recent form

LLWWW

Avg goals scored

1.40

2.00

Defensive weakness

0.40

1.40

Shots on target for

3.60

2.40

SoT conceded pressure

2.40

5.00

Home splitW-W-D-D-D2.00 scored / 0.60 conceded

Away splitL-L-W-W-W2.00 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.15. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to France Ligue 1 (fr). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.15

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Nice has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -29.6% 7D: -23.7% 15D: -5.1% 30D: 0.7%

Model insight

Nice – Lorient Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.15. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample584

Win Rate47.8%

Profit+2.43u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Pachuca U21 - Puebla U21	2.15	1.04%
LOSS	Centro Espanol - Central Cordoba de Rosario	2.26	1.59%
WIN	Larne Reserves - Crusaders Reserves	2.08	1.04%
LOSS	Shanghai Shenhua - Beijing Guoan	2.08	1.31%
WIN	Amedspor - Erzurumspor FK	2.34	1.59%
WIN	Rio Verde - Goianesia	2.02	1.04%
LOSS	Raufoss - Asane	2.01	1.04%
LOSS	Rebordosa - FC Tirsense	2.19	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 2.15

Kickoff

Ago 22, 2026 10:45 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Start

Starts in 4d 4h

Updated

Updated 13m ago