Model: TipA1

Aparecidense U20 vs Planalto EC U20

PREDICTION

@ 2.70

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 07, 2026 5:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 21h 13m

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.36% · n=530

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.36% · n=530

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 10m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Planalto EC U20. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Planalto EC U20Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

54/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.70First seen

Current2.74Now

Max odds2.74Highest point

Min odds2.70Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Aparecidense U20HOME

Planalto EC U20AWAY

WWLLL

Recent form

DDWWW

Avg goals scored

0.60

1.20

Defensive weakness

2.00

0.20

Shots on target for

3.80

5.20

SoT conceded pressure

9.20

4.00

Home splitW-L-L-L0.50 scored / 2.50 conceded

Away splitD-W-W1.67 scored / 0.33 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.70. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.36% based on n=530 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Copa Goias U20 (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.70

V2 BandHIGHROI 6.36% · n=530

V4 BandHIGHROI 6.36% · n=530

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. Historical model performance remains supportive, with similar HIGH underdog setups showing encouraging long-term results. Planalto EC U20 is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: -11.2% 7D: 38.6% 15D: 6.0% 30D: 13.1%

Model insight

Aparecidense U20 – Planalto EC U20 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.70. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.36% and 6.36%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample105

Win Rate37.1%

Profit+0.80u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Trau FC - FC Raengdai	2.45	6.36%
LOSS	Social FC MG U20 - Betim FC U20	2.55	6.67%
LOSS	Central Cordoba - San Lorenzo	2.80	5.52%
WIN	Vizela - Celta Fortuna	2.88	5.52%
LOSS	Velo Clube U20 - SC Paulinense U20	2.90	5.52%
WIN	Wynnum Wolves U23 - Brisbane City U23	2.50	6.36%
LOSS	SR Fach-Donaufeld - SV Horn	2.55	6.36%
WIN	Csakvari TK - FC Nagykanizsa	2.60	6.36%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Tvååkers IF - Atvidabergs FF	2	2.50	6.36%	08 Aug 16:00

Pick

2 @ 2.70

Kickoff

Ago 07, 2026 5:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 6.36% • n=530

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

6.36% • n=530

Start

Starts in 21h 13m

Updated

Updated 10m ago