SR Fach-Donaufeld – SV Horn

Model: TipA1

SR Fach-Donaufeld vs SV Horn

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.55
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 31, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1d 18h
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.36% · n=530
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.36% · n=530
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 7m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is SV Horn. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: SV HornGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.035 | A: 0.037

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

53/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.39First seen
Current2.56Now
Max odds2.56Highest point
Min odds2.39Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

SR Fach-DonaufeldHOME
VS
SV HornAWAY
LWLDW
Recent form
DDLWL
Avg goals scored
1.80
1.60
Defensive weakness
2.80
1.40
Shots on target for
3.80
4.60
SoT conceded pressure
8.00
3.20
Home splitL-D-W-W-L2.00 scored / 2.40 conceded
Away splitW-L-W-D1.75 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.55. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.36% based on n=530 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Austria Regionalliga Ost (at). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.55
V2 BandHIGHROI 6.36% · n=530
V4 BandHIGHROI 6.36% · n=530
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor SV Horn. Historical model performance remains supportive, with similar HIGH underdog setups showing encouraging long-term results.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -23.3% 7D: -15.3% 15D: 6.2% 30D: 11.1%
Model insight

SR Fach-Donaufeld – SV Horn Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.55. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.36% and 6.36%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample89
Win Rate38.2%
Profit-0.24u
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ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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LOSSTaubate (W) - Sport Recife (W)2.706.36%
WINNeusiedl - Helfort 152.507.37%
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LOSSJK Viljandi Tulevik - Johvi FC Phoenix2.556.36%
LOSSEastern Suburbs (W) - Auckland United (W)2.406.36%
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Pick
2 @ 2.55
Kickoff
Lug 31, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 6.36% • n=530
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
6.36% • n=530
Start
Starts in 1d 18h
Updated
Updated 7m ago
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