APD 90011 Bagheria – CUS Palermo

Model: TipTromba2H

APD 90011 Bagheria vs CUS Palermo

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.50
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 10, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 86d 3h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.05% · n=992
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.05% · n=992
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 86d 10h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is APD 90011 Bagheria. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: APD 90011 BagheriaGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

14/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.50First seen
Current1.51Now
Max odds1.51Highest point
Min odds1.50Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

APD 90011 BagheriaHOME
VS
CUS PalermoAWAY
W
Recent form
LD
Avg goals scored
1.00
0.00
Defensive weakness
0.00
0.50
Shots on target for
4.00
1.50
SoT conceded pressure
3.00
2.00
Home splitW1.00 scored / 0.00 conceded
Away splitL0.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.50. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.05% based on n=992 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Italy Eccellenza (it). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.50
V2 BandNONEROI -1.05% · n=992
V4 BandNONEROI -1.05% · n=992
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The low odds suggest strong market confidence, and the available form indicators generally support that view. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. APD 90011 Bagheria has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: 9.9% 7D: -5.4% 15D: -2.2% 30D: 5.1%
Model insight

APD 90011 Bagheria – CUS Palermo Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.05% and -1.05%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample454
Win Rate63.4%
Profit+8.57u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSHapoel Kfar Shalem - Ironi Modiin1.62-1.89%
LOSSBrodd - Stabaek 21.70-1.89%
WINCerro Porteno Reserves - Sportivo Luqueno Reserves1.62-3.82%
LOSSViimsi JK - JK Tallinna Kalev1.67-1.89%
LOSSItaquaquecetuba U23 - America SP U231.67-3.38%
WINPenarol (W) - Defensor Sporting (W)1.60-1.89%
LOSSReal Potosi - GV San Jose1.50-1.89%
WINAD Sarchi - AD Cofutpa1.57-3.82%
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Pick
1 @ 1.50
Kickoff
Mag 10, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.05% • n=992
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.05% • n=992
Start
Started 86d 3h ago
Updated
Updated 86d 10h ago
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