Araz FK – FK Kapaz

Model: TIPPSH

Araz FK – FK Kapaz

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.14
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 15, 2026 7:30 PM
ResultWIN2 - 0
StartStarted 11d 4h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 11d 11h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric Araz FK FK Kapaz
Last 5 form W-L-L-D-L L-W-W-L-L
Avg goals scored 0.80 0.60
Avg goals conceded 1.40 1.20
Home/Away form W-L-L-L (home) L-W-L-L (away)
Home/Away avg goals 1.00 scored / 2.00 conceded 0.50 scored / 2.00 conceded
Shots on target 3.20 for / 2.60 against 3.80 for / 6.40 against
Home/Away shots on target 4.00 for / 4.50 against (home) 2.50 for / 8.75 against (away)

AI Match Insight

With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.99First seen
Current2.14Now
Max odds2.14Highest point
Min odds1.99Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight

Araz FK – FK Kapaz Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.14. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.86% and 4.86%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample224
Win Rate46.0%
Profit-14.83u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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WINAscoli - Catania2.282.49%
WIN29 de Septiembre FBC - Club General Martin Ledesma2.313.15%
LOSSCentral & Western - Hoi King2.203.37%
WINKariya - Gakunan F Mosuperio2.282.49%
WINVarnsdorf - Mladá Boleslav B1.893.37%
WINLeones de Rosario - General Lamadrid2.382.49%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz11.984.86%09 May 13:00
FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina11.932.30%10 May 19:00
Pick
1 @ 2.14
Kickoff
Mag 15, 2026 7:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.86% • n=299
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.86% • n=299
Start
Started 11d 4h ago
Updated
Updated 11d 11h ago
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